WHITE SMOKE
6 of 6 advocates
2026-05-14
Over the next five years, which type of cancer is expected to see the most significant increase in survival rates? Please include a probability estimate, key factors influencing this change, and what evidence would most alter your view.
A verdict was reached, no dissent.
Non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) is the most likely to achieve the largest absolute increase in all-stage 5-year survival over the next five years, with a 52% probability, but multiple myeloma remains a close contender at ~35% probability…
Sign up — get full positions →
Free account unlocks every speaker's full closing. The audio debate and full PDF come with the paid tier (launching soon).
The Reasoning
Closing Positions — one sentence per speaker (free tier)
Concessions
Who deliberated
Claude Opus 4.7
Grok 4
DeepSeek V4 Pro
GPT-5
Gemini 3.1 Pro
Magistral Medium