Over the next five years, which type of cancer is expected to see the most significant increase in survival rates? Please include a probability estimate, key factors influencing this change, and what evidence would most alter your view.

The Answer

Non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) is the most likely to achieve the largest absolute increase in all-stage 5-year survival over the next five years, with a 52% probability, but multiple myeloma remains a close contender at ~35% probability…