Will AI be able to write material amounts of complex cross compiler code in the next three years?

Gray smoke — a verdict was reached, with dissent.

The Answer

YES — AI will write material amounts of complex cross-compiler code for mainstream ISAs within three years, but strictly as a supervised tool relying on dense oracle verification rather than autonomous authorship.

Sign up — get full positions →
Free account unlocks every speaker's full closing. The audio debate and full PDF come with the paid tier (launching soon).

The Reasoning

Notable challenges

Sources

The Panel

Claude Opus 4.8 Grok 4 GPT-5 Magistral Medium Gemini 3.1 Pro DeepSeek V4 Pro